Our pick
Home Win
xG
2.1 – 1.0
Over 2.5
61%
Both score
56%
The model projects 2.14 goals for Sparta Prague and 1.01 for Aris Limassol, giving 63% for the home win, 20% for the draw and 17% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1866 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
2
Sparta Prague
0
Draws
0
Aris Limassol