Our pick Strong
Over 1.5 Goals
xG
1.9 – 0.9
Over 2.5
54%
Both score
51%
The model gives Nigeria a 61% chance to win, with Zimbabwe at 16%. The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals at 78%, against a 72% norm for this competition. Over 2.5 goals and both teams to score both sit near 50%, so there is little edge there.
Nigeria
Above average
Zimbabwe
Above average
6
Nigeria
3
Draws
0
Zimbabwe