Our pick Strong
Home or Draw (1X)
xG
1.4 – 0.8
Over 2.5
40%
Both score
44%
The model projects 1.44 goals for Canada and 0.83 for Guadeloupe, giving 50% for the home win, 29% for the draw and 21% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 3413 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Canada
Above average
Guadeloupe
Average
1
Canada
1
Draws
1
Guadeloupe