Our pick Strong
Over 1.5 Goals
xG
2.0 – 0.8
Over 2.5
55%
Both score
50%
The model makes Nigeria clear favourites, with a 65% chance of a home win against 14% for Zimbabwe. The strongest read is Over 1.5 goals at 79%, well above the 70% norm in this competition. Nigeria's expected 2.04 goals against Zimbabwe's 0.84 explains the lean.
Nigeria
Above average
Zimbabwe
Above average
6
Nigeria
3
Draws
0
Zimbabwe