Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
xG
1.5 – 1.3
Over 2.5
53%
Both score
58%
The model projects 1.48 goals for Hong Kong and 1.32 for Philippines, giving 40% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 33% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Hong Kong
Above average
Philippines
Above average
1
Hong Kong
0
Draws
1
Philippines