Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
xG
1.9 – 1.1
Over 2.5
57%
Both score
56%
The model projects 1.94 goals for AZ Alkmaar and 1.05 for Vaduz, giving 58% for the home win, 22% for the draw and 20% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1866 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
4
AZ Alkmaar
0
Draws
0
Vaduz