Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
xG
1.2 – 1.1
Over 2.5
39%
Both score
47%
The model projects 1.17 goals for Zimbabwe and 1.09 for South Africa, giving 37% for the home win, 31% for the draw and 33% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Zimbabwe
Above average
South Africa
Above average
2
Zimbabwe
3
Draws
5
South Africa