Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
xG
1.4 – 1.1
Over 2.5
46%
Both score
52%
The model makes Hungary the most likely winner at 43%, with Finland at 29% and a draw at 29%. It projects 1.41 goals for Hungary and 1.11 for Finland, so the edge is modest. The most likely score is 1-1 at 14%, and the goals markets sit close to even.
Hungary
Average
Finland
Average
5
Hungary
3
Draws
2
Finland