
San Marino
0-1

Finland
Our pick
Away Win
xG
0.9 – 2.5
Over 2.5
65%
Both score
55%
The model makes Finland the clear favourite at 71%, against a 31% norm for away wins in this competition. Expected goals are 0.91 for San Marino and 2.45 for Finland, with over 2.5 goals at 65%. The gap from the usual rate is the strongest signal here, not the raw percentage alone.
San Marino
Weak
Finland
Average
0
San Marino
0
Draws
7
Finland