Our pick Strong
Home Win
xG
2.8 – 0.7
Over 2.5
67%
Both score
48%
The model makes Belarus strong favourites at 80%, against a 46% norm for this competition, and that gap is what matters most. It expects 2.76 goals for Belarus and 0.71 for San Marino. Over 2.5 goals sits at 67%, but a home win is still not a guarantee.
Belarus
Average
San Marino
Weak
3
Belarus
0
Draws
0
San Marino