Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
xG
1.6 – 1.1
Over 2.5
50%
Both score
54%
The model projects 1.58 goals for Finland and 1.08 for Belarus, giving 48% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 25% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 5145 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Finland
Average
Belarus
Average
2
Finland
3
Draws
1
Belarus