Our pick Strong
Under 3.5 Goals
xG
1.4 – 0.9
Over 2.5
40%
Both score
45%
The model projects 1.41 goals for South Africa and 0.89 for Zimbabwe, giving 48% for the home win, 29% for the draw and 23% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
South Africa
Above average
Zimbabwe
Above average
5
South Africa
3
Draws
2
Zimbabwe