Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
xG
1.2 – 1.5
Over 2.5
52%
Both score
56%
The model projects 1.23 goals for Tanzania and 1.51 for Nigeria, giving 30% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 43% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Tanzania
Average
Nigeria
Above average
0
Tanzania
1
Draws
2
Nigeria