Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
xG
1.4 – 1.1
Over 2.5
46%
Both score
52%
Finland are the model's pick at 44%, against 28% for Hungary and 29% for a draw. Expected goals are 1.43 for Finland and 1.10 for Hungary, a modest edge. Hungary's 13 points from their last six games is a real counterweight, so this is far from certain.
Finland
Average
Hungary
Average
2
Finland
3
Draws
5
Hungary