Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
xG
1.4 – 0.8
Over 2.5
39%
Both score
44%
The model projects 1.39 goals for Egypt and 0.85 for South Africa, giving 49% for the home win, 30% for the draw and 22% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Egypt
Above average
South Africa
Above average
3
Egypt
1
Draws
6
South Africa