Our pick Strong
Under 3.5 Goals
xG
1.4 – 0.9
Over 2.5
41%
Both score
47%
The model projects 1.37 goals for Gibraltar and 0.94 for Latvia, giving 46% for the home win, 30% for the draw and 25% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Gibraltar
Above average
Latvia
Average
1
Gibraltar
0
Draws
5
Latvia