Our pick
Home Win
xG
2.2 – 0.8
Over 2.5
58%
Both score
49%
The model rates Algeria the strongest read at 70% to win, against a 48% norm for this competition. Expected goals are 2.25 for Algeria and 0.79 for Jordan. Algeria's attack meets Jordan's weak defence, which drives most of the gap.
Algeria
Above average
Jordan
Average
1
Algeria
1
Draws
0
Jordan