Our pick
Home Win
xG
2.6 – 1.1
Over 2.5
71%
Both score
63%
Barcelona are the favourite at 68%, against a 49% norm for this competition. Expected goals are 2.56 for Barcelona and 1.15 for Galatasaray. Even so, the model leaves a 32% chance of no home win, so this is a lean, not a lock.
1
Barcelona
1
Draws
0
Galatasaray