Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
xG
1.3 – 1.2
Over 2.5
44%
Both score
51%
The model's strongest pick is Under 3.5 Goals at 77%, against a 72% norm in this competition, and that gap is what makes it the standout. Benin are slight favourites at 37% to win, with Niger at 33% and a draw at 29%. Expected goals are 1.26 for Benin and 1.17 for Niger, so a tight game is what the numbers point to.
Benin
Average
Niger
Average
2
Benin
4
Draws
3
Niger