Our pick Strong
Over 1.5 Goals
xG
1.9 – 0.9
Over 2.5
54%
Both score
51%
The model favours Nigeria to win at 61%, with 1.94 expected goals against 0.89 for Zimbabwe. The strongest read is Over 1.5 Goals at 78%, above the 72% norm for this competition. Over 2.5 and both teams to score sit near a coin flip, so those markets offer little edge.
Nigeria
Above average
Zimbabwe
Above average
6
Nigeria
3
Draws
0
Zimbabwe