Our pick
Home Win
xG
2.2 – 0.7
Over 2.5
55%
Both score
45%
Inter Milan are the model's strongest pick at 71%, far above the 40% norm for this competition. Their attack, ranked best, meets Parma's 14th-weakest defence, with expected goals of 2.16 to 0.72. A 71% chance still leaves nearly three-in-ten against, so this is a lean, not a lock.
Inter Milan
Elite
Parma
Average
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | +11 | 13 | |
| 2 | 5 | +7 | 13 | |
| 3 | 5 | +5 | 13 | |
| 4 | 5 | +3 | 12 | |
| 5 | 5 | +6 | 11 | |
| 6 | 5 | +5 | 10 | |
| 7 | 5 | +4 | 10 | |
| 8 | 5 | +3 | 10 | |
| 9 | 5 | +1 | 7 | |
| 10 | 5 | 0 | 7 | |
| 11 | 5 | -2 | 6 | |
| 12 | 5 | -5 | 6 | |
| 13 | 5 | -3 | 4 | |
| 14 | 5 | -3 | 4 | |
| 15 | 5 | -3 | 4 | |
| 16 | 5 | -4 | 4 | |
| 17▲ | 6 | -5 | 4 | |
| 18▼ | 6 | -8 | 4 | |
| 19▼ | 5 | -3 | 2 | |
| 20 | 5 | -9 | 0 |
6
Inter Milan
3
Draws
1
Parma