Preston North End vs Birmingham City prediction, English Championship
English Championship · Round 45Full time
Preston North End
2-0
Birmingham City
Model's read
1 32%X 29%2 40%
Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
68.5%
xG
1.2 – 1.4
Over 2.5
47%
Both score
53%
Form
Full stats →Preston North EndLDLLWBirmingham CityWDWLDMatch analysis
Model generatedBirmingham City favoured at 40%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.19 goals for Preston North End and 1.37 for Birmingham City, giving 32% for the home win, 29% for the draw and 40% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 14%
- Expected goals: 1.19 - 1.37
- Clean sheet chance: Preston North End 25%, Birmingham City 30%
Match result
1X2Preston North End31.5%
Draw28.5%
Birmingham City39.9%
Model rating
All ratings →4.0
Preston North End
Average
5.8
Birmingham City
Above average
Preston North EndLast 10 gamesBirmingham City0.40Points per game1.40
0.8Goals scored per game1.4
2.0Goals conceded per game1.7
70%Over 2.5 goals70%
60%Both teams scored80%
0%Clean sheets20%
40%Failed to score10%
Recent results
Preston North EndLDLLWEnglish Championship
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 8 | +7 | 17 |
| 2 |  West Ham United | 8 | +11 | 15 |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough | 8 | +4 | 15 |
| 4 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers | 7 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 8 | +2 | 14 |
| 6 |  Queens Park Rangers | 8 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Stoke | 8 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 |  Bristol City | 8 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 |  Charlton Athletic | 8 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City | 8 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 |  Millwall | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 |  Lincoln City | 8 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |  Southampton | 8 | +9 | 10 |
| 14 |  Wrexham | 8 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 |  Bolton Wanderers | 8 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 |  Blackburn Rovers | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 17 |  Norwich | 8 | -1 | 9 |
| 18 |  Sheffield United | 8 | -2 | 9 |
| 19 |  Portsmouth | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 20 |  Watford | 8 | -3 | 8 |
| 21 |  Cardiff | 8 | -2 | 7 |
| 22 |  Derby County | 8 | -7 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End | 8 | -7 | 4 |
| 24 |  Burnley | 8 | -8 | 4 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings3
Preston North End
2
Draws
5
Birmingham City
- 22 Apr 26Birmingham City 2-1 Preston North End
- 21 Oct 25Preston North End 0-1 Birmingham City
- 1 Apr 24Birmingham City 1-0 Preston North End
- 19 Sept 23Preston North End 2-1 Birmingham City
- 21 Jan 23Birmingham City 1-2 Preston North End