Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo Alavés prediction, Spanish La Liga
Our pick Strong
Home or Away (12)
77.2%
xG
1.9 – 0.9
Over 2.5
53%
Both score
52%
Form
Full stats →
Atlético MadridWWWWL
Deportivo AlavésLDLLWMatch analysis
Model generatedAtlético Madrid favoured at 59%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.86 goals for Atlético Madrid and 0.94 for Deportivo Alavés, giving 59% for the home win, 23% for the draw and 19% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-0 at 11%
- Expected goals: 1.86 - 0.94
- Clean sheet chance: Atlético Madrid 39%, Deportivo Alavés 16%
Match result
1X2Atlético Madrid58.6%
Draw22.8%
Deportivo Alavés18.6%
Model rating
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Atlético Madrid
Not rated yet
5.3
Deportivo Alavés
Average
Atlético MadridLast 10 gamesDeportivo Alavés1.90Points per game1.40
2.0Goals scored per game1.4
1.5Goals conceded per game1.0
90%Over 2.5 goals50%
60%Both teams scored50%
30%Clean sheets40%
10%Failed to score20%
Recent results
Atlético MadridWWWWL
Spanish La Liga
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 7 | +24 | 21 |
| 2 | Atlético Madrid | 7 | +9 | 16 |
| 3 |  Real Betis | 7 | +2 | 16 |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 7 | +10 | 15 |
| 5 |  Sevilla | 7 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 | Deportivo Alavés | 7 | +5 | 11 |
| 7 |  Deportivo de A Coruña | 7 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 |  Real Sociedad | 7 | -4 | 10 |
| 9 |  Villarreal | 7 | +1 | 8 |
| 10 |  Athletic Bilbao | 6 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 |  Espanyol | 8 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 |  Getafe | 7 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 |  Rayo Vallecano | 7 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 |  Osasuna | 7 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 |  Celta Vigo | 7 | +2 | 7 |
| 16 |  Racing de Santander | 7 | -10 | 7 |
| 17 |  Levante | 6 | -4 | 5 |
| 18 |  Elche | 7 | -6 | 5 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 7 | -9 | 4 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 8 | -9 | 4 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Previous meetingsNo previous meetings found in the available data.