Paris Saint-Germain vs Lille Prediction — French Ligue 1

Our pick Strong

Home or Draw (1X)

79.1%

xG

1.8 – 1.0

Over 2.5

53%

Both score

54%

Form

Full stats →

Paris Saint-GermainWWWWL

LilleWLWLW

Match analysis

Model generated

Paris Saint-Germain favoured at 55%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.79 goals for Paris Saint-Germain and 1.02 for Lille, giving 55% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 21% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
Expected goals: 1.79 - 1.02
Clean sheet chance: Paris Saint-Germain 36%, Lille 17%

Match result

1X2

Paris Saint-Germain54.6%

Draw24.5%

Lille20.9%

Model rating

All ratings →

8.1

Paris Saint-Germain

Strong

6.9

Lille

Above average

Paris Saint-GermainLast 10 games

Lille

1.80Points per game1.70

2.1Goals scored per game1.3

1.2Goals conceded per game1.0

70%Over 2.5 goals30%

80%Both teams scored40%

20%Clean sheets50%

0%Failed to score10%

Recent results

Paris Saint-GermainWWWWL

LilleWLWLW

French Ligue 1

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	6	+5	14
2	Lille	6	+5	13
3	Lyon	6	+7	11
4	Paris FC	6	+4	11
5	Paris Saint-Germain	6	+3	11
6	Rennes	5	-1	10
7	Brest	6	+3	8
8	Lorient	6	0	8
9	Lens	6	+1	7
10	Strasbourg	5	0	7
11	Angers	6	-3	7
12▲	Marseille74′ 1-0	6	0	6
13▼	Le Mans	6	-2	6
14▼	Toulouse	6	-2	6
15▼	Auxerre	5	-5	6
16▼	Nice	5	-3	5
17▼	Troyes74′ 0-1	6	-8	4
18	Le Havre	6	-4	2