AC Milan vs Lazio Prediction — Italian Serie A

Our pick

Under 3.5 Goals

76.6%

xG

1.4 – 1.1

Over 2.5

45%

Both score

49%

Form

Full stats →

AC MilanWLDDW

LazioWWDWW

Match analysis

Model generated

AC Milan favoured at 45%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.39 goals for AC Milan and 1.07 for Lazio, giving 45% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 29% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
Expected goals: 1.39 - 1.07
Clean sheet chance: AC Milan 34%, Lazio 25%

Match result

1X2

AC Milan44.5%

Draw26.1%

Lazio29.4%

Model rating

All ratings →

7.1

AC Milan

Strong

6.6

Lazio

Above average

AC MilanLast 10 games

Lazio

1.40Points per game1.90

1.5Goals scored per game1.3

1.4Goals conceded per game1.1

60%Over 2.5 goals40%

60%Both teams scored40%

20%Clean sheets30%

20%Failed to score30%

Recent results

AC MilanWLDDW

LazioWWDWW

Italian Serie A

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Inter Milan	6	+10	16
2	Roma	5	+11	13
3	Lazio	5	+5	13
4▲	AC Milan17′ 0-0	6	+6	12
5▼	Cagliari	5	+3	12
6	Napoli	6	+4	10
7	Juventus	5	+4	10
8	Como	5	+3	10
9	Frosinone	6	+2	10
10	Sassuolo17′ 0-0	6	0	8
11	Atalanta	5	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	-3	4
14	Torino	5	-3	4
15	Monza	5	-4	4
16	Genoa	6	-6	4
17	Parma	6	-6	4
18	Fiorentina	6	-7	4
19	Bologna	5	-3	2
20	Venezia	5	-9	0