Middlesbrough vs Stoke Prediction — English Championship

Our pick Strong

Home or Draw (1X)

79.8%

xG

1.8 – 1.0

Over 2.5

53%

Both score

54%

Form

Full stats →

MiddlesbroughWDDWL

StokeWWWDW

Match analysis

Model generated

Middlesbrough favoured at 55%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.79 goals for Middlesbrough and 1.01 for Stoke, giving 55% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 20% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
Expected goals: 1.79 - 1.01
Clean sheet chance: Middlesbrough 37%, Stoke 17%

Match result

1X2

Middlesbrough54.9%

Draw24.9%

Stoke20.2%

Model rating

All ratings →

6.9

Middlesbrough

Above average

5.0

Stoke

Average

MiddlesbroughLast 10 games

Stoke

1.80Points per game1.70

1.8Goals scored per game1.6

1.5Goals conceded per game1.4

70%Over 2.5 goals70%

70%Both teams scored80%

20%Clean sheets20%

10%Failed to score0%

Recent results

MiddlesbroughWDDWL

StokeWWWDW

English Championship

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Swansea	8	+7	17
2	West Ham United	8	+11	15
3	Middlesbrough	8	+4	15
4	Wolverhampton Wanderers	7	+5	14
5	West Brom	8	+2	14
6	Queens Park Rangers	8	+3	13
7	Stoke	8	+1	13
8	Bristol City	8	-1	13
9	Charlton Athletic	8	-3	12
10	Birmingham City	8	+1	11
11	Millwall	8	0	11
12	Lincoln City	8	-1	11
13	Southampton	8	+9	10
14	Wrexham	8	-3	10
15	Bolton Wanderers	8	-4	10
16	Blackburn Rovers	8	0	9
17	Norwich	8	-1	9
18	Sheffield United	8	-2	9
19	Portsmouth	7	-1	8
20	Watford	8	-3	8
21	Cardiff	8	-2	7
22	Derby County	8	-7	5
23	Preston North End	8	-7	4
24	Burnley	8	-8	4