Lille vs Troyes prediction, French Ligue 1
Our pick
Home Win
68.6%
xG
2.1 – 0.8
Over 2.5
55%
Both score
47%
Form
Full stats →
LilleWLWLW
TroyesLLLWDMatch analysis
Model generatedLille favoured at 69%, in a middling game
The model projects 2.13 goals for Lille and 0.76 for Troyes, giving 69% for the home win, 20% for the draw and 11% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 2-0 at 13%
- Expected goals: 2.13 - 0.76
- Clean sheet chance: Lille 47%, Troyes 12%
Match result
1X2Lille68.6%
Draw19.9%
Troyes11.4%
Model rating
All ratings →6.9
Lille
Above average
3.2
Troyes
Weak
LilleLast 10 gamesTroyes1.70Points per game0.60
1.3Goals scored per game0.8
1.0Goals conceded per game2.2
30%Over 2.5 goals50%
40%Both teams scored60%
50%Clean sheets10%
10%Failed to score40%
Recent results
French Ligue 1
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Monaco | 5 | +5 | 13 |
| 2 |  Lyon | 6 | +7 | 11 |
| 3 |  Paris FC | 5 | +5 | 11 |
| 4 | Lille | 5 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 5 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 |  Paris Saint-Germain | 5 | +1 | 8 |
| 7 |  Lens | 6 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 |  Angers | 5 | +1 | 7 |
| 9 |  Strasbourg | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 |  Le Mans | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 |  Auxerre | 5 | -5 | 6 |
| 12 |  Brest | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 |  Lorient | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 |  Toulouse | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 |  Nice | 5 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 | Troyes | 5 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 |  Marseille | 5 | -1 | 3 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 5 | -3 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings3
Lille
4
Draws
3
Troyes
- 13 Sept 26Lille 2-0 Troyes
- 3 Jun 23Troyes 1-1 Lille
- 15 Jan 23Lille 5-1 Troyes
- 1 May 22Troyes 3-0 Lille
- 4 Dec 21Lille 2-1 Troyes