Troyes vs Lille Prediction — French Ligue 1

Our pick

Away Win

56.8%

xG

0.9 – 1.8

Over 2.5

51%

Both score

51%

Form

Full stats →

TroyesLLLLW

LilleWLWLW

Match analysis

Model generated

Lille favoured at 57%, in a middling game

The model projects 0.93 goals for Troyes and 1.79 for Lille, giving 19% for the home win, 24% for the draw and 57% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
Expected goals: 0.93 - 1.79
Clean sheet chance: Troyes 17%, Lille 39%

Match result

1X2

Troyes18.8%

Draw24.4%

Lille56.8%

Model rating

All ratings →

3.2

Troyes

Weak

6.9

Lille

Above average

TroyesLast 10 games

Lille

0.60Points per game1.70

0.7Goals scored per game1.3

2.1Goals conceded per game1.0

40%Over 2.5 goals30%

50%Both teams scored40%

10%Clean sheets50%

50%Failed to score10%

Recent results

TroyesLLLLW

LilleWLWLW

French Ligue 1

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	6	+5	14
2	Lille	6	+5	13
3	Lyon	6	+7	11
4	Paris FC	6	+4	11
5	Paris Saint-Germain	6	+3	11
6	Rennes	5	-1	10
7	Brest	6	+3	8
8	Lorient	6	0	8
9	Lens	6	+1	7
10	Strasbourg	5	0	7
11	Angers	6	-3	7
12	Le Mans	6	-2	6
13	Toulouse	6	-2	6
14	Auxerre	5	-5	6
15	Nice	5	-3	5
16	Troyes	5	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	-1	3
18	Le Havre	6	-4	2