AC Milan vs Sassuolo Prediction — Italian Serie A

Our pick

Home or Draw (1X)

74.6%

xG

1.7 – 1.1

Over 2.5

53%

Both score

54%

Form

Full stats →

AC MilanWLDDW

SassuoloLWDDW

Match analysis

Model generated

AC Milan favoured at 51%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.68 goals for AC Milan and 1.11 for Sassuolo, giving 51% for the home win, 24% for the draw and 25% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
Expected goals: 1.68 - 1.11
Clean sheet chance: AC Milan 33%, Sassuolo 19%

Match result

1X2

AC Milan51.1%

Draw23.5%

Sassuolo25.4%

Model rating

All ratings →

7.1

AC Milan

Strong

5.2

Sassuolo

Average

AC MilanLast 10 games

Sassuolo

1.40Points per game1.10

1.5Goals scored per game1.6

1.4Goals conceded per game1.6

60%Over 2.5 goals80%

60%Both teams scored80%

20%Clean sheets10%

20%Failed to score10%

Recent results

AC MilanWLDDW

SassuoloLWDDW

Italian Serie A

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Inter Milan	6	+10	16
2	Roma	5	+11	13
3	Lazio	5	+5	13
4▲	AC Milan9′ 0-0	6	+6	12
5▼	Cagliari	5	+3	12
6	Napoli	6	+4	10
7	Juventus	5	+4	10
8	Como	5	+3	10
9	Frosinone	6	+2	10
10	Sassuolo9′ 0-0	6	0	8
11	Atalanta	5	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	-3	4
14	Torino	5	-3	4
15	Monza	5	-4	4
16	Genoa	6	-6	4
17	Parma	6	-6	4
18	Fiorentina	6	-7	4
19	Bologna	5	-3	2
20	Venezia	5	-9	0