Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
xG
1.1 – 1.0
Over 2.5
37%
Both score
45%
The model projects 1.14 goals for Zimbabwe and 1.03 for South Africa, giving 37% for the home win, 31% for the draw and 32% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Zimbabwe
Above average
South Africa
Above average
2
Zimbabwe
3
Draws
5
South Africa