Bournemouth vs Liverpool prediction, English Premier League
English Premier League · Round 27Full time
Bournemouth
1-0
Liverpool
Model's readVitality Stadium
1 38%X 27%2 35%
Our pick Strong
Over 1.5 Goals
79.8%
xG
1.5 – 1.4
Over 2.5
56%
Both score
60%
Form
Full stats →BournemouthLLWDWLiverpoolWWDWWMatch analysis
EnhancedBournemouth narrow lean, but goals look likely
The model gives Bournemouth a slight edge at 38%, with Liverpool on 35% and a draw at 27%, so this is a close call. The clearer signal is goals: 2.91 expected in total, putting over 2.5 at 56% and both teams to score at 60%. Treat this as a lean, not a lock.
Match result
1X2Bournemouth38.2%
Draw27.0%
Liverpool34.8%
Model rating
All ratings →6.0
Bournemouth
Above average
6.8
Liverpool
Above average
BournemouthLast 10 gamesLiverpool1.10Points per game1.70
1.5Goals scored per game1.6
1.6Goals conceded per game1.2
60%Over 2.5 goals50%
80%Both teams scored70%
10%Clean sheets30%
10%Failed to score10%
Recent results
BournemouthLLWDW
English Premier League
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 5 | +8 | 15 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 5 | +4 | 12 |
| 3 |  Brighton and Hove Albion | 5 | +11 | 10 |
| 4 |  Brentford | 5 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 |  Leeds United | 5 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 5 | +3 | 9 |
| 7 |  Everton | 5 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |  Hull City | 5 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |  Newcastle United | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |  Chelsea | 5 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 |  Ipswich Town | 5 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 |  Manchester United | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 |  Nottingham Forest | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 |  Sunderland | 5 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 5 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Aston Villa | 5 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 | Bournemouth | 5 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 |  Coventry City | 5 | -9 | 3 |
| 19 |  Fulham | 5 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 |  Tottenham Hotspur | 5 | -6 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings2
Bournemouth
0
Draws
8
Liverpool
- 20 Sept 26Bournemouth 0-1 Liverpool
- 24 Jan 26Bournemouth 3-2 Liverpool
- 15 Aug 25Liverpool 4-2 Bournemouth
- 1 Feb 25Bournemouth 0-2 Liverpool
- 21 Sept 24Liverpool 3-0 Bournemouth