Lille vs Troyes Prediction — French Ligue 1

Our pick

Home Win

68.6%

xG

2.1 – 0.8

Over 2.5

55%

Both score

47%

Form

Full stats →

LilleWLWLW

TroyesLLLLW

Match analysis

Enhanced

Lille favoured at 69% to win at home

The model makes Lille the clear favourites, with a 69% home win against a 44% norm for this competition. That gap is the strongest read here. Expected goals are 2.13 for Lille and 0.76 for Troyes. Treat this as a probability, not a guarantee, since Troyes can still take points.

Match result

1X2

Lille68.6%

Draw19.9%

Troyes11.4%

Model rating

All ratings →

6.9

Lille

Above average

3.2

Troyes

Weak

LilleLast 10 games

Troyes

1.70Points per game0.60

1.3Goals scored per game0.7

1.0Goals conceded per game2.1

30%Over 2.5 goals40%

40%Both teams scored50%

50%Clean sheets10%

10%Failed to score50%

Recent results

LilleWLWLW

TroyesLLLLW

French Ligue 1

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	6	+5	14
2	Lille	6	+5	13
3	Lyon	6	+7	11
4	Paris FC	6	+4	11
5	Paris Saint-Germain	6	+3	11
6	Rennes	5	-1	10
7	Brest	6	+3	8
8	Lorient	6	0	8
9	Lens	6	+1	7
10	Strasbourg	5	0	7
11	Angers	6	-3	7
12	Le Mans	6	-2	6
13	Toulouse	6	-2	6
14	Auxerre	5	-5	6
15	Nice	5	-3	5
16	Troyes	5	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	-1	3
18	Le Havre	6	-4	2