Monaco vs Paris Saint-Germain prediction, French Ligue 1
French Ligue 1 · Round 23Full time
Monaco
3-1
Paris Saint-Germain
Model's readStade Louis II
1 29%X 25%2 46%
Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
70.8%
xG
1.3 – 1.7
Over 2.5
59%
Both score
61%
Form
Full stats →MonacoDWDWWParis Saint-GermainWWWWLMatch analysis
Model generatedParis Saint-Germain favoured at 46%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 1.34 goals for Monaco and 1.73 for Paris Saint-Germain, giving 29% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 46% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
- Expected goals: 1.34 - 1.73
- Clean sheet chance: Monaco 18%, Paris Saint-Germain 26%
Match result
1X2Monaco29.2%
Draw24.8%
Paris Saint-Germain46.0%
Model rating
All ratings →7.1
Monaco
Strong
8.1
Paris Saint-Germain
Strong
MonacoLast 10 gamesParis Saint-Germain2.00Points per game1.80
2.1Goals scored per game2.1
1.4Goals conceded per game1.2
60%Over 2.5 goals70%
70%Both teams scored80%
20%Clean sheets20%
10%Failed to score0%
Recent results
French Ligue 1
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 5 | +5 | 13 |
| 2 |  Lyon | 6 | +7 | 11 |
| 3 |  Paris FC | 5 | +5 | 11 |
| 4 |  Lille | 5 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 5 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 | Paris Saint-Germain | 5 | +1 | 8 |
| 7 |  Lens | 6 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 |  Angers | 5 | +1 | 7 |
| 9 |  Strasbourg | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 |  Le Mans | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 |  Auxerre | 5 | -5 | 6 |
| 12 |  Brest | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 |  Lorient | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 |  Toulouse | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 |  Nice | 5 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 |  Troyes | 5 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 |  Marseille | 5 | -1 | 3 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 5 | -3 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 2 meetings0
Monaco
1
Draws
1
Paris Saint-Germain
- 25 Feb 26Paris Saint-Germain 2-2 Monaco
- 17 Feb 26Monaco 2-3 Paris Saint-Germain