AC Milan vs Lazio prediction, Italian Serie A
Italian Serie A · Round 34Full time
AC Milan
2-0
Lazio
Model's readStadio Giuseppe Meazza
1 45%X 26%2 29%
Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
76.6%
xG
1.4 – 1.1
Over 2.5
45%
Both score
49%
Form
Full stats →AC MilanWLDDWLazioWWDWWMatch analysis
Model generatedAC Milan favoured at 45%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.39 goals for AC Milan and 1.07 for Lazio, giving 45% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 29% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
- Expected goals: 1.39 - 1.07
- Clean sheet chance: AC Milan 34%, Lazio 25%
Match result
1X2AC Milan44.5%
Draw26.1%
Lazio29.4%
Model rating
All ratings →7.1
AC Milan
Strong
6.6
Lazio
Above average
AC MilanLast 10 gamesLazio1.40Points per game1.90
1.5Goals scored per game1.3
1.4Goals conceded per game1.1
60%Over 2.5 goals40%
60%Both teams scored40%
20%Clean sheets30%
20%Failed to score30%
Recent results
Italian Serie A
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter Milan | 6 | +10 | 16 |
| 2 |  Roma | 5 | +11 | 13 |
| 3 | Lazio | 5 | +5 | 13 |
| 4▲ | AC Milan17′ 0-0 | 6 | +6 | 12 |
| 5▼ |  Cagliari | 5 | +3 | 12 |
| 6 |  Napoli | 6 | +4 | 10 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 5 | +4 | 10 |
| 8 |  Como | 5 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |  Frosinone | 6 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 |  Sassuolo17′ 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 |  Atalanta | 5 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 |  Lecce | 5 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 |  Udinese | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |  Torino | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Monza | 5 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 |  Genoa | 6 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 |  Parma | 6 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |  Fiorentina | 6 | -7 | 4 |
| 19 |  Bologna | 5 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 5 | -9 | 0 |
Top four Bottom three Moving with 1 game in play
Head to head
Last 10 meetings4
AC Milan
2
Draws
4
Lazio
- 12 Sept 26Lazio 2-2 AC Milan
- 15 Mar 26Lazio 1-0 AC Milan
- 4 Dec 25Lazio 1-0 AC Milan
- 29 Nov 25AC Milan 1-0 Lazio
- 2 Mar 25AC Milan 1-2 Lazio