West Brom vs Birmingham City prediction, English Championship
English Championship · Round 10Full time
West Brom
2-3
Birmingham City
Model's readThe Hawthorns
1 40%X 30%2 30%
Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
78.8%
xG
1.3 – 1.1
Over 2.5
42%
Both score
49%
Form
Full stats →West BromLLDWWBirmingham CityWDWLDMatch analysis
Model generatedWest Brom favoured at 40%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.28 goals for West Brom and 1.08 for Birmingham City, giving 40% for the home win, 30% for the draw and 30% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 14%
- Expected goals: 1.28 - 1.08
- Clean sheet chance: West Brom 34%, Birmingham City 28%
Match result
1X2West Brom39.8%
Draw29.9%
Birmingham City30.3%
Model rating
All ratings →5.7
West Brom
Above average
5.8
Birmingham City
Above average
West BromLast 10 gamesBirmingham City1.40Points per game1.40
1.2Goals scored per game1.4
1.2Goals conceded per game1.7
40%Over 2.5 goals70%
60%Both teams scored80%
20%Clean sheets20%
20%Failed to score10%
Recent results
West BromLLDWWEnglish Championship
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 8 | +7 | 17 |
| 2 |  West Ham United | 8 | +11 | 15 |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough | 8 | +4 | 15 |
| 4 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers | 7 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 | West Brom | 8 | +2 | 14 |
| 6 |  Queens Park Rangers | 8 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Stoke | 8 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 |  Bristol City | 8 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 |  Charlton Athletic | 8 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City | 8 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 |  Millwall | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 |  Lincoln City | 8 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |  Southampton | 8 | +9 | 10 |
| 14 |  Wrexham | 8 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 |  Bolton Wanderers | 8 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 |  Blackburn Rovers | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 17 |  Norwich | 8 | -1 | 9 |
| 18 |  Sheffield United | 8 | -2 | 9 |
| 19 |  Portsmouth | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 20 |  Watford | 8 | -3 | 8 |
| 21 |  Cardiff | 8 | -2 | 7 |
| 22 |  Derby County | 8 | -7 | 5 |
| 23 |  Preston North End | 8 | -7 | 4 |
| 24 |  Burnley | 8 | -8 | 4 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings3
West Brom
3
Draws
4
Birmingham City
- 10 Feb 26Birmingham City 0-0 West Brom
- 26 Nov 25West Brom 1-1 Birmingham City
- 3 Feb 24West Brom 1-0 Birmingham City
- 6 Oct 23Birmingham City 3-1 West Brom
- 10 Feb 23Birmingham City 2-0 West Brom