Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
xG
1.3 – 0.9
Over 2.5
38%
Both score
44%
The model projects 1.28 goals for Rwanda and 0.93 for Zimbabwe, giving 44% for the home win, 30% for the draw and 26% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Rwanda
Above average
Zimbabwe
Above average
2
Rwanda
1
Draws
2
Zimbabwe