South Africa vs Zimbabwe prediction, World Cup Qualifying CAF
World Cup Qualifying CAF · Round 4Full time
South Africa
3-1
Zimbabwe
Model's readToyota Stadium South Africa
1 49%X 29%2 22%
Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
78.3%
xG
1.4 – 0.8
Over 2.5
38%
Both score
43%
Form
Full stats →
South AfricaWLWDL
ZimbabweWLWLDMatch analysis
Model generatedSouth Africa favoured at 49%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.39 goals for South Africa and 0.83 for Zimbabwe, giving 49% for the home win, 29% for the draw and 22% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-0 at 14%
- Expected goals: 1.39 - 0.83
- Clean sheet chance: South Africa 43%, Zimbabwe 25%
Match result
1X2South Africa49.3%
Draw29.0%
Zimbabwe21.7%
Model rating
All ratings →5.8
South Africa
Above average
5.7
Zimbabwe
Above average
South AfricaLast 10 gamesZimbabwe1.20Points per game1.10
0.7Goals scored per game1.1
0.9Goals conceded per game1.3
20%Over 2.5 goals50%
40%Both teams scored50%
40%Clean sheets30%
30%Failed to score30%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 10 meetings5
South Africa
3
Draws
2
Zimbabwe
- 29 Dec 25Zimbabwe 2-3 South Africa
- 10 Oct 25Zimbabwe 0-0 South Africa
- 10 Oct 25South Africa 0-0 Zimbabwe
- 11 Jun 24South Africa 3-1 Zimbabwe
- 11 Nov 21South Africa 1-0 Zimbabwe