St Etienne vs Metz Prediction — French Ligue 1

Our pick

Home or Draw (1X)

73.4%

xG

1.8 – 1.3

Over 2.5

59%

Both score

60%

Form

Full stats →

St EtienneWDLWW

MetzDLWDD

Match analysis

Model generated

St Etienne favoured at 49%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 1.78 goals for St Etienne and 1.26 for Metz, giving 49% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 27% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
Expected goals: 1.78 - 1.26
Clean sheet chance: St Etienne 28%, Metz 17%

Match result

1X2

St Etienne48.9%

Draw24.6%

Metz26.6%

Model rating

All ratings →

7.2

St Etienne

Strong

7.3

Metz

Strong

St EtienneLast 10 games

Metz

2.00Points per game1.10

2.2Goals scored per game1.1

1.2Goals conceded per game1.3

80%Over 2.5 goals50%

60%Both teams scored60%

40%Clean sheets20%

10%Failed to score40%

Recent results

St EtienneWDLWW

MetzDLWDD

French Ligue 1

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	6	+5	14
2	Lille	6	+5	13
3	Lyon	6	+7	11
4	Paris FC	6	+4	11
5	Paris Saint-Germain	6	+3	11
6	Rennes1′ 0-0	6	-1	11
7	Brest	6	+3	8
8	Lorient	6	0	8
9	Lens	6	+1	7
10	Strasbourg	5	0	7
11	Angers	6	-3	7
12▲	Auxerre1′ 0-0	6	-5	7
13▼	Le Mans	6	-2	6
14▼	Toulouse	6	-2	6
15	Nice	5	-3	5
16	Troyes	5	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	-1	3
18	Le Havre	6	-4	2