Lille vs Le Havre Prediction — French Ligue 1

Our pick

Under 3.5 Goals

75.0%

xG

1.7 – 0.8

Over 2.5

47%

Both score

47%

Form

Full stats →

LilleWLWLW

Le HavreLLDLD

Match analysis

Model generated

Lille favoured at 58%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.71 goals for Lille and 0.82 for Le Havre, giving 58% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 17% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0 at 13%
Expected goals: 1.71 - 0.82
Clean sheet chance: Lille 44%, Le Havre 18%

Match result

1X2

Lille57.8%

Draw25.0%

Le Havre17.1%

Model rating

All ratings →

6.9

Lille

Above average

4.3

Le Havre

Average

LilleLast 10 games

Le Havre

1.70Points per game0.70

1.3Goals scored per game1.1

1.0Goals conceded per game1.4

30%Over 2.5 goals30%

40%Both teams scored50%

50%Clean sheets20%

10%Failed to score40%

Recent results

LilleWLWLW

Le HavreLLDLD

French Ligue 1

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	6	+5	14
2	Lille	6	+5	13
3	Lyon	6	+7	11
4	Paris FC	6	+4	11
5	Paris Saint-Germain	6	+3	11
6	Rennes	5	-1	10
7	Brest	6	+3	8
8	Lorient	6	0	8
9	Lens	6	+1	7
10	Strasbourg	5	0	7
11	Angers	6	-3	7
12	Le Mans	6	-2	6
13	Toulouse	6	-2	6
14	Auxerre	5	-5	6
15	Nice	5	-3	5
16	Troyes	5	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	-1	3
18	Le Havre	6	-4	2