Norwich vs Middlesbrough prediction, English Championship
English Championship · Round 12Full time
Norwich
3-3
Middlesbrough
Model's readCarrow Road
1 38%X 26%2 36%
Our pick
Home or Away (12)
73.9%
xG
1.5 – 1.5
Over 2.5
57%
Both score
61%
Form
Full stats →NorwichLLLLWMiddlesbroughWDDWLMatch analysis
Model generatedNorwich favoured at 38%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 1.52 goals for Norwich and 1.46 for Middlesbrough, giving 38% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 36% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
- Expected goals: 1.52 - 1.46
- Clean sheet chance: Norwich 23%, Middlesbrough 22%
Match result
1X2Norwich38.2%
Draw26.1%
Middlesbrough35.6%
Model rating
All ratings →5.9
Norwich
Above average
6.9
Middlesbrough
Above average
NorwichLast 10 gamesMiddlesbrough1.20Points per game1.80
1.8Goals scored per game1.8
2.3Goals conceded per game1.5
90%Over 2.5 goals70%
70%Both teams scored70%
0%Clean sheets20%
30%Failed to score10%
Recent results
NorwichLLLLW
English Championship
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 8 | +7 | 17 |
| 2 |  West Ham United | 8 | +11 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 8 | +4 | 15 |
| 4 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers | 7 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 8 | +2 | 14 |
| 6 |  Queens Park Rangers | 8 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Stoke | 8 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 |  Bristol City | 8 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 |  Charlton Athletic | 8 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 |  Birmingham City | 8 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 |  Millwall | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 |  Lincoln City | 8 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |  Southampton | 8 | +9 | 10 |
| 14 |  Wrexham | 8 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 |  Bolton Wanderers | 8 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 |  Blackburn Rovers | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich | 8 | -1 | 9 |
| 18 |  Sheffield United | 8 | -2 | 9 |
| 19 |  Portsmouth | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 20 |  Watford | 8 | -3 | 8 |
| 21 |  Cardiff | 8 | -2 | 7 |
| 22 |  Derby County | 8 | -7 | 5 |
| 23 |  Preston North End | 8 | -7 | 4 |
| 24 |  Burnley | 8 | -8 | 4 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings0
Norwich
3
Draws
7
Middlesbrough
- 12 Sept 26Middlesbrough 4-3 Norwich
- 31 Jan 26Middlesbrough 1-0 Norwich
- 23 Aug 25Norwich 1-2 Middlesbrough
- 26 Apr 25Middlesbrough 0-0 Norwich
- 27 Oct 24Norwich 3-3 Middlesbrough