Millwall vs Middlesbrough prediction, English Championship
Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
77.2%
xG
1.4 – 1.3
Over 2.5
52%
Both score
57%
Form
Full stats →
MillwallWDDLL
MiddlesbroughWDDWLMatch analysis
Model generatedMillwall favoured at 38%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.42 goals for Millwall and 1.34 for Middlesbrough, giving 38% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 35% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
- Expected goals: 1.42 - 1.34
- Clean sheet chance: Millwall 26%, Middlesbrough 24%
Match result
1X2Millwall38.0%
Draw27.4%
Middlesbrough34.6%
Model rating
All ratings →6.4
Millwall
Above average
6.9
Middlesbrough
Above average
MillwallLast 10 gamesMiddlesbrough1.40Points per game1.80
1.5Goals scored per game1.8
1.6Goals conceded per game1.5
70%Over 2.5 goals70%
40%Both teams scored70%
40%Clean sheets20%
20%Failed to score10%
Recent results
MillwallWDDLL
English Championship
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 8 | +7 | 17 |
| 2 |  West Ham United | 8 | +11 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 8 | +4 | 15 |
| 4 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers | 7 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 8 | +2 | 14 |
| 6 |  Queens Park Rangers | 8 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Stoke | 8 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 |  Bristol City | 8 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 |  Charlton Athletic | 8 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 |  Birmingham City | 8 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 |  Lincoln City | 8 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |  Southampton | 8 | +9 | 10 |
| 14 |  Wrexham | 8 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 |  Bolton Wanderers | 8 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 |  Blackburn Rovers | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 17 |  Norwich | 8 | -1 | 9 |
| 18 |  Sheffield United | 8 | -2 | 9 |
| 19 |  Portsmouth | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 20 |  Watford | 8 | -3 | 8 |
| 21 |  Cardiff | 8 | -2 | 7 |
| 22 |  Derby County | 8 | -7 | 5 |
| 23 |  Preston North End | 8 | -7 | 4 |
| 24 |  Burnley | 8 | -8 | 4 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings4
Millwall
2
Draws
4
Middlesbrough
- 15 Sept 26Middlesbrough 2-2 Millwall
- 3 Apr 26Middlesbrough 1-2 Millwall
- 16 Aug 25Millwall 0-3 Middlesbrough
- 12 Apr 25Millwall 1-0 Middlesbrough
- 14 Dec 24Middlesbrough 1-0 Millwall