St Pauli vs Holstein Kiel Prediction — German Bundesliga

Our pick

Under 3.5 Goals

68.8%

xG

1.5 – 1.4

Over 2.5

53%

Both score

58%

Form

Full stats →

St PauliDWDLD

Holstein KielLDLDL

Match analysis

Model generated

St Pauli favoured at 39%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.46 goals for St Pauli and 1.35 for Holstein Kiel, giving 39% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 34% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
Expected goals: 1.46 - 1.35
Clean sheet chance: St Pauli 26%, Holstein Kiel 23%

Match result

1X2

St Pauli39.1%

Draw26.8%

Holstein Kiel34.1%

Model rating

All ratings →

6.9

St Pauli

Above average

5.2

Holstein Kiel

Average

St PauliLast 10 games

Holstein Kiel

0.70Points per game0.70

1.1Goals scored per game1.1

1.7Goals conceded per game1.7

60%Over 2.5 goals60%

80%Both teams scored60%

10%Clean sheets0%

10%Failed to score40%

Recent results

St PauliDWDLD

Holstein KielLDLDL

German Bundesliga

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	5	+7	13
2	Bayern Munich	4	+12	10
3	Freiburg	4	+9	10
4	Werder Bremen	5	0	8
5	Augsburg	4	+5	7
6	Bayer Leverkusen	4	+5	7
7	Mainz	4	+4	7
8	Elversberg	4	+1	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	-1	5
11	Schalke 04	4	-1	5
12	Paderborn	4	-2	4
13	Köln	4	-3	4
14	Hoffenheim	4	-3	3
15	Stuttgart	4	-3	3
16	Hamburg	4	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	-10	0