Our pick
Home or Away (12)
xG
1.7 – 1.5
Over 2.5
62%
Both score
64%
The model gives Freiburg a 40% chance to win, against 35% for RB Leipzig and 25% for a draw, so the gap is small. Expected goals of 1.66 and 1.53 point to an open game, with over 2.5 at 62%. Treat this as a lean, not a sure thing.
Freiburg
Above average
RB Leipzig
Above average
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | +7 | 13 | |
| 2 | 5 | +12 | 11 | |
| 3 | 5 | +9 | 11 | |
| 4 | 5 | +6 | 10 | |
| 5 | 5 | +10 | 9 | |
| 6 | 5 | +5 | 8 | |
| 7 | 5 | 0 | 8 | |
| 8 | 5 | +3 | 7 | |
| 9 | 5 | 0 | 7 | |
| 10▲ | 5 | -2 | 7 | |
| 11▼ | 5 | -1 | 6 | |
| 12 | 5 | -1 | 6 | |
| 13▼ | 5 | -10 | 6 | |
| 14▼ | 5 | -7 | 5 | |
| 15 | 5 | -4 | 4 | |
| 16 | 5 | -12 | 4 | |
| 17 | 5 | -4 | 3 | |
| 18 | 5 | -11 | 0 |
1
Freiburg
3
Draws
6
RB Leipzig