Holstein Kiel vs St Pauli Prediction — German Bundesliga

Our pick

Home or Draw (1X)

76.4%

xG

1.7 – 1.1

Over 2.5

55%

Both score

56%

Form

Full stats →

Holstein KielLDLDL

St PauliDWDLD

Match analysis

Model generated

Holstein Kiel favoured at 51%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.75 goals for Holstein Kiel and 1.12 for St Pauli, giving 51% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 24% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
Expected goals: 1.75 - 1.12
Clean sheet chance: Holstein Kiel 33%, St Pauli 17%

Match result

1X2

Holstein Kiel51.2%

Draw25.2%

St Pauli23.6%

Model rating

All ratings →

5.2

Holstein Kiel

Average

6.9

St Pauli

Above average

Holstein KielLast 10 games

St Pauli

0.70Points per game0.70

1.1Goals scored per game1.1

1.7Goals conceded per game1.7

60%Over 2.5 goals60%

60%Both teams scored80%

0%Clean sheets10%

40%Failed to score10%

Recent results

Holstein KielLDLDL

St PauliDWDLD

German Bundesliga

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	5	+7	13
2	Bayern Munich	4	+12	10
3	Freiburg	4	+9	10
4	Werder Bremen	5	0	8
5	Augsburg	4	+5	7
6	Bayer Leverkusen	4	+5	7
7	Mainz	4	+4	7
8	Elversberg	4	+1	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	-1	5
11	Schalke 04	4	-1	5
12	Paderborn	4	-2	4
13	Köln	4	-3	4
14	Hoffenheim	4	-3	3
15	Stuttgart	4	-3	3
16	Hamburg	4	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	-10	0