Lazio vs AC Milan prediction, Italian Serie A
Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
76.9%
xG
1.2 – 1.2
Over 2.5
44%
Both score
49%
Form
Full stats →
LazioWWDWW
AC MilanWLDDWMatch analysis
Model generatedAC Milan favoured at 38%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.20 goals for Lazio and 1.25 for AC Milan, giving 36% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 38% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
- Expected goals: 1.20 - 1.25
- Clean sheet chance: Lazio 29%, AC Milan 30%
Match result
1X2Lazio35.6%
Draw26.6%
AC Milan37.9%
Model rating
All ratings →6.6
Lazio
Above average
7.1
AC Milan
Strong
LazioLast 10 gamesAC Milan1.90Points per game1.40
1.3Goals scored per game1.5
1.1Goals conceded per game1.4
40%Over 2.5 goals60%
40%Both teams scored60%
30%Clean sheets20%
30%Failed to score20%
Recent results
Italian Serie A
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter Milan | 6 | +10 | 16 |
| 2 |  Roma | 5 | +11 | 13 |
| 3 | Lazio | 5 | +5 | 13 |
| 4▲ | AC Milan18′ 0-0 | 6 | +6 | 12 |
| 5▼ |  Cagliari | 5 | +3 | 12 |
| 6 |  Napoli | 6 | +4 | 10 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 5 | +4 | 10 |
| 8 |  Como | 5 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |  Frosinone | 6 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 |  Sassuolo18′ 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 |  Atalanta | 5 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 |  Lecce | 5 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 |  Udinese | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |  Torino | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Monza | 5 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 |  Genoa | 6 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 |  Parma | 6 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |  Fiorentina | 6 | -7 | 4 |
| 19 |  Bologna | 5 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 5 | -9 | 0 |
Top four Bottom three Moving with 1 game in play
Head to head
Last 10 meetings4
Lazio
2
Draws
4
AC Milan
- 12 Sept 26Lazio 2-2 AC Milan
- 15 Mar 26Lazio 1-0 AC Milan
- 4 Dec 25Lazio 1-0 AC Milan
- 29 Nov 25AC Milan 1-0 Lazio
- 2 Mar 25AC Milan 1-2 Lazio