Como vs Napoli prediction, Italian Serie A
Italian Serie A · Round 26Full time
Como
2-1
Napoli
Model's readStadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
1 44%X 26%2 30%
Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
75.8%
xG
1.4 – 1.1
Over 2.5
46%
Both score
50%
Form
Full stats →ComoDLWWWNapoliWDWLLMatch analysis
Model generatedComo favoured at 44%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.40 goals for Como and 1.10 for Napoli, giving 44% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 30% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
- Expected goals: 1.40 - 1.10
- Clean sheet chance: Como 33%, Napoli 25%
Match result
1X2Como44.2%
Draw25.9%
Napoli29.9%
Model rating
All ratings →7.3
Como
Strong
7.2
Napoli
Strong
ComoLast 10 gamesNapoli2.30Points per game1.60
1.9Goals scored per game1.6
0.8Goals conceded per game1.0
50%Over 2.5 goals50%
60%Both teams scored40%
30%Clean sheets50%
20%Failed to score10%
Recent results
Italian Serie A
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter Milan | 6 | +10 | 16 |
| 2 |  Roma | 5 | +11 | 13 |
| 3 |  Lazio | 5 | +5 | 13 |
| 4▲ |  AC Milan76′ 1-1 | 6 | +6 | 12 |
| 5▼ |  Cagliari | 5 | +3 | 12 |
| 6 | Napoli | 6 | +4 | 10 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 5 | +4 | 10 |
| 8 | Como | 5 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |  Frosinone | 6 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 |  Sassuolo76′ 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 |  Atalanta | 5 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 |  Lecce | 5 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 |  Udinese | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |  Torino | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Monza | 5 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 |  Genoa | 6 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 |  Parma | 6 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |  Fiorentina | 6 | -7 | 4 |
| 19 |  Bologna | 5 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 5 | -9 | 0 |
Top four Bottom three Moving with 1 game in play
Head to head
Last 6 meetings2
Como
3
Draws
1
Napoli
- 30 Aug 26Napoli 1-2 Como
- 2 May 26Como 0-0 Napoli
- 10 Feb 26Napoli 1-1 Como
- 1 Nov 25Napoli 0-0 Como
- 23 Feb 25Como 2-1 Napoli