Middlesbrough vs Stoke prediction, English EFL Cup
Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
75.7%
xG
1.7 – 1.1
Over 2.5
52%
Both score
54%
Form
Full stats →
MiddlesbroughWDDWL
StokeWWWDWMatch analysis
Model generatedMiddlesbrough favoured at 50%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.67 goals for Middlesbrough and 1.09 for Stoke, giving 50% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 24% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 2921 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
- Expected goals: 1.67 - 1.09
- Clean sheet chance: Middlesbrough 34%, Stoke 19%
Match result
1X2Middlesbrough50.2%
Draw25.5%
Stoke24.3%
Model rating
All ratings →6.9
Middlesbrough
Above average
5.0
Stoke
Average
MiddlesbroughLast 10 gamesStoke1.80Points per game1.70
1.8Goals scored per game1.6
1.5Goals conceded per game1.4
70%Over 2.5 goals70%
70%Both teams scored80%
20%Clean sheets20%
10%Failed to score0%
Recent results
MiddlesbroughWDDWL
Head to head
Last 10 meetings4
Middlesbrough
3
Draws
3
Stoke
- 21 Jan 26Stoke 1-2 Middlesbrough
- 30 Sept 25Middlesbrough 0-0 Stoke
- 25 Feb 25Stoke 1-3 Middlesbrough
- 28 Sept 24Middlesbrough 2-0 Stoke
- 27 Aug 24Middlesbrough 0-5 Stoke