Our pick
Home or Away (12)
xG
1.7 – 0.8
Over 2.5
47%
Both score
46%
The model projects 1.73 goals for Juventus and 0.81 for Cagliari, giving 59% for the home win, 24% for the draw and 17% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1561 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Juventus
Strong
Cagliari
Above average
7
Juventus
2
Draws
1
Cagliari