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Milton Keynes Dons vs AFC Wimbledon prediction, English FA Cup

English FA Cup · Round 1Full time

Milton Keynes Dons

0-2

Sun, 3 Nov

AFC Wimbledon

Model's readStadium MK
1 43%X 27%2 30%

Our pick

Under 3.5 Goals

74.0%

xG

1.4 – 1.2

Over 2.5

48%

Both score

53%

Form

Full stats →
Milton Keynes DonsLDDDL
AFC WimbledonLDDWW

Match analysis

Model generated

Milton Keynes Dons favoured at 43%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.43 goals for Milton Keynes Dons and 1.15 for AFC Wimbledon, giving 43% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 30% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 2843 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
  • Expected goals: 1.43 - 1.15
  • Clean sheet chance: Milton Keynes Dons 32%, AFC Wimbledon 24%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Milton Keynes Dons v AFC Wimbledon

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Milton Keynes Dons42.7%
Draw27.4%
AFC Wimbledon29.8%

Model rating

All ratings →
4.8

Milton Keynes Dons

Average

4.4

AFC Wimbledon

Average

Milton Keynes DonsLast 10 gamesAFC Wimbledon
0.70Points per game1.20
1.1Goals scored per game0.7
2.0Goals conceded per game1.3
50%Over 2.5 goals40%
80%Both teams scored30%
20%Clean sheets50%
20%Failed to score40%

Recent results

Milton Keynes DonsLDDDL
  • 10 OctHReading1-5
  • 17 SeptAAFC Wimbledon0-0
  • 12 SeptHPeterborough United1-1
  • 5 SeptAWycombe3-3
  • 2 SeptAWigan1-3
  • 29 AugHLeicester0-0
AFC WimbledonLDDWW
  • 10 OctAPlymouth1-2
  • 26 SeptACambridge United1-1
  • 17 SeptHMilton Keynes Dons0-0
  • 12 SeptHDoncaster Rovers1-0
  • 7 SeptABromley2-0
  • 2 SeptABurton1-4

Head to head

Last 7 meetings

3

Milton Keynes Dons

3

Draws

1

AFC Wimbledon

  • 17 Sept 26AFC Wimbledon 0-0 Milton Keynes Dons
  • 3 Nov 24Milton Keynes Dons 0-2 AFC Wimbledon
  • 9 Apr 22AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Milton Keynes Dons
  • 11 Jan 22Milton Keynes Dons 1-0 AFC Wimbledon
  • 30 Jan 21AFC Wimbledon 0-2 Milton Keynes Dons
Every meeting between these two →