Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
xG
1.4 – 1.3
Over 2.5
50%
Both score
55%
The model projects 1.39 goals for Everton and 1.26 for Bournemouth, giving 39% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 33% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 2843 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Everton
Above average
Bournemouth
Above average
3
Everton
1
Draws
6
Bournemouth